Posts by Speed Clear Ele

15

10a

50a, the current offer on his presearing board was 1000bd so we're farm from it with just those little bids lol

Plagueborn Sword q9 +5e (15-21) 5k to save it from merch

7k on each sword mentionned above

q9 inscr elemental sword, zodiac sword, colossal scimitar 5k ea

Echovald Q12 tac +30 -5/20 20e

Echovald Q11 tac +30 -5/20 20e

Zodiac Staff Q9 spawn 20/20 restoration 5a

+5e katana 20e

kephket's 1a

Quote from Shaggy

How does one live with their head so far up their own ass? I find it hilarious that you even use the word "egotistical" to describe others actions, given the way you talk lol.

Anyway, here's a couple q7 from a peasant.

It's called pixel nerd who's been playing one game for 15 years so the feeling of entitlement is HUGE. Can't wait for the dislikes, I live for those.

Wait nvm, some people have been playing for that much and aren't as self centered as this dude.

He's just a troll and need to go outside, the permanent self isolation that ran for the past XX years didn't help him very much .

20a ebow

50 à on the stormbow collection

15a on 13 wStance eternal bow

retract on both, found a crysta for cheaper in game..

10e deep wound zodiac

20a

GBP 20a

15a

Ign:speed clear ele

3a oni 2a zhed

spear 1000e..

8A on the staff.

Quote from Joker

it would help to at least make a screenshot with an alt account /s
or you know, tell them for transparity to post their offer on legacy. i think theres not much reason to have an auction if youre actively trying to sell ingame, but maybe thats just me.
2a on the cockatrice

***mod edit--comments removed --mod edit***

6a on the staff

10e on q13 celestial

1000e on r13 crysta..

r13 naked crysta 400e

1985e.

3) 15a

6 bobo stacks + 250a on it !

100e.

I think you really need to chill out other than calling people delusional over the internet.

I'm quoting you on yur 99% BS stats just like everyone pulling numbers out of their asses.

80% is still too much

Think again.

I won't argue with you anymore since your logic is biased so keep spiting out your venom right in the nether

Thanks

Quote from Joker

whats the point? where do you think 99% of high end skins that are also bought and used by "casuals" come from? hint: its scs. not pvp. except maybe some zchest stuff that is, u guessed it, almost exclusively botted

What are those high end skins you get from SC?

Eternal Blade, VS , OBBy edge, bds , froggy, emerald blade, eaglecrest , cc, mini dhuum & scythe, silverwing & dryad ?

Then there are envoy weapons which don't come from sc, crystalline & ghero from HA, VS & cc from Zchest

The Uninscr such as 2020 bo's, zodiacs and the like which don't come from SC

The green minis from WiK

As far as I can tell thats nowhere near 99%

Stop pulling statistics out of your ass please.

Thanks

20-30e

Quote from random/

Well you invited "Hareth" aka "Test Hareth" aka that guy who faked players to leech iQ,GG,zQ, etc... and even made a fictional self-story to get an invite to EvIL, EW, WM. Anyway, Just saw him in Boo some weeks ago, idk if he stayed in or so, but saying not leeching is LOL

Who the hell would lie over playing video games to get invited within a trim guild wtf.

The fee was not stuck at 1k5 it was anywhere between 1k2 and 1k5.

Cons were sold between 7 to 12k and ectos were like 7 8 to 12k ea.

Yet at the same time pcosn were at least 25e a stack so between 175 and 300k which would translate in 120e per stack as of current rate. Fact is since ppl got replaced by bots, pcons got way cheaper but the dude complaining here probably didn't play pre 2012.

Quote from Izzy

No1 talking about the people that spam consets 24/7 like if they were chewing gums, and they are doing SCs that doesnt give money at all 99,9% of the time, so they are just wasting money. And how they obtain the money to buy those consets etc? Runing bots, its sad, but thats what 80% of the Sc community do.

You forgot to mention that they sometimes zone in, see that some trash didn't spawn as wanted resign right off the bat, right after having popped a full set of cons + pcons on each of their toons.

In fow, uw and doa mainly.

But what can you do , I've been on their Ts's and since 2016 and ownwards, the sc community is mainly composed of pot heads who only play gw1 ,smoke weed during their free time and wank themselves over their in game accomplishments, deeming anyone not part of the sc community as worthless trash.

Not that I judge them, idc about their way of life, but I'm just pointing that it could be added.

Also, the market is flooded with rare items, yet they have never been as expensive as the price they are sold at atm.

I reckon that up to 2014 it was nearly impossible to sell a q9 eblade for 120e at spammadan because it was deemed to be overpriced.

People want huge in game profit for being the last ones to exploit an overly farmed place in a dead game. L O L

Quote from Looney

personally i think when anet broke the bots, the botters/rmt ppl got pissed and have been merching piles of previously ill-gotten ectos.

If you rely solely on buying cons and never farm any youself, who has been contributing to the problem of a shrinking supply?

They make loads of in game money so they don't want to do the dirty job of farming their own pcons lol.

Besides, bots are back, they just missed one event ... So no need to go crazy, you'll get your sweet pcons for cheap during the next event

Nevermind, we can generate truly random numbers using entropy, I completely forgot about that but I don't think that gw1 is using that kind of technique.

Quote from Praise

The threshold I set before starting the experiments was 0.01. It's quite arbitrary, but I always feel that the standard 0.05 is a bit too loose. The null hypothesis was 'the Envoy Staff will give the expected probabilities'.

Let's work out the 10/10/10 case. Those experiments were done with only Nature's Renewal up, so observation of 0, 2, 4x HCT is possible but the case of 8x, even though it is calculated in the background, gets capped to 4x. So I assumed that it was allowed to group them together: total expected probability of 4+8x = 2.7 + 0.1 = 2.8%. The 76 observations will include both 4x and 8x since they are indistinguishable.

The chi-squared value was calculated by putting the counts for each column separately into: [(observed-expected)^2] / expected  and then summing. This value was then used to calculate the right-tailed P with the excel formula =CHISQ.DIST.RT().

There are 3 different types of data effectively (since 4 and 8x are indistinguishable in the observations), so 2 degrees of freedom.

And in fact I see now that I made a typo in the formula for P in the 10/10/10 set! With 2 degrees of freedom, it should have been P = 0.007. (I will correct the original post after feedback on whether this is actually the way to go)

That's a very good point I hadn't thought about. Do you know if there are any standard tests or corrections we can use instead?

Many thanks for your help.

Display More

No, I despise statistics so I can't help you on that. I'll try to look over in the books I have but there's nothing that comes to my mind atm

"I am not a statistician, but a quick google search showed that for comparing dice rolls to expected values, a chi-squared test is appropriate. So, the below table contains the observed and expected results, and the outcome of the comparison indicating how well the results match the expectations. If I understood correctly, the P value is the probability of getting the observed result if the expectations were correct."

Well, no a chi Squarred Distribution is used in a chi Squarred Test to make sure(with a certain confidence threhshold) that the data collected(statistics) follow or not a certain distribution. The random function in Computer Science isn't really random, so I don't think that khi squared is the way to go here but anyway ~~.

In order to do that you'll have to fix a threshold that will condition wether or not you accept the null hypothesis .

The method below comes from a statistical textbook, I haven't worked with Chi Testing before, only studied a bit about Chi Distribution, so perhaps it has flaws which I'm keen to correct if pointed out:

Let's call this threshold α = 0.05 ( ie : we'll build a 95 tolerance interval )

Then you proceed onto the sample collection which you did.

You collected 2859 sample.

Now let's start resuming stuff in an array.

You already have a problem here because you joined the 4 & 8 events together.

PRovide me with the complete dataset and I could help you continuing

Also where does that 9.95 comes from ?

I can't read it anywhere in any cell of the chi squarred table for any degree of freedom.

Considering you have 4 different types of data the degree of freedom is generally r=k-1 where k denotes the number of types of data you're collecting(columns in your array), we can try with r=4 but since all events aren't independent(ie : if you have the amount of sample for 0 2 4 & total, you can deduce the amount of sample for 8), we should go down to a degree of freedom r=3.

And since we fixed α = 0.05 , then your Chi value should be 7.815 ( \mathbb{P}(X \leq 0.95)_{ r=3} = 7.815)

https://online.stat.psu.edu/stat414/node/147/

Also if theres any statistician here I'd happily take lessons from you if anything I said above is incorrect to some extends.

I'd purchase 200unids from you depending on the price

***mod edit--place a BID or do not post, for questions or comments pm the OP--mod edit***

Are all these shield just worthless ?

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Thanks !

bump, offers added , auctions will still run for a couple of days, I'm in no hurry soo !

Quote from Spun Ducky

Forums cut it off but linear regression and gradient descent that for most intents and purposes produce the same results in a lot of problems.

Filthy econometric guy.

(a+b) ^2=a^2+b^2+2ab =a^2+b^2 since 2ab is negligible...

NOOO