Posts by Speed Clear Ele

Nevermind, we can generate truly random numbers using entropy, I completely forgot about that but I don't think that gw1 is using that kind of technique.

Quote from Praise

The threshold I set before starting the experiments was 0.01. It's quite arbitrary, but I always feel that the standard 0.05 is a bit too loose. The null hypothesis was 'the Envoy Staff will give the expected probabilities'.

Let's work out the 10/10/10 case. Those experiments were done with only Nature's Renewal up, so observation of 0, 2, 4x HCT is possible but the case of 8x, even though it is calculated in the background, gets capped to 4x. So I assumed that it was allowed to group them together: total expected probability of 4+8x = 2.7 + 0.1 = 2.8%. The 76 observations will include both 4x and 8x since they are indistinguishable.

The chi-squared value was calculated by putting the counts for each column separately into: [(observed-expected)^2] / expected  and then summing. This value was then used to calculate the right-tailed P with the excel formula =CHISQ.DIST.RT().

There are 3 different types of data effectively (since 4 and 8x are indistinguishable in the observations), so 2 degrees of freedom.

And in fact I see now that I made a typo in the formula for P in the 10/10/10 set! With 2 degrees of freedom, it should have been P = 0.007. (I will correct the original post after feedback on whether this is actually the way to go)

That's a very good point I hadn't thought about. Do you know if there are any standard tests or corrections we can use instead?

Many thanks for your help.

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No, I despise statistics so I can't help you on that. I'll try to look over in the books I have but there's nothing that comes to my mind atm

"I am not a statistician, but a quick google search showed that for comparing dice rolls to expected values, a chi-squared test is appropriate. So, the below table contains the observed and expected results, and the outcome of the comparison indicating how well the results match the expectations. If I understood correctly, the P value is the probability of getting the observed result if the expectations were correct."

Well, no a chi Squarred Distribution is used in a chi Squarred Test to make sure(with a certain confidence threhshold) that the data collected(statistics) follow or not a certain distribution. The random function in Computer Science isn't really random, so I don't think that khi squared is the way to go here but anyway ~~.

In order to do that you'll have to fix a threshold that will condition wether or not you accept the null hypothesis .

The method below comes from a statistical textbook, I haven't worked with Chi Testing before, only studied a bit about Chi Distribution, so perhaps it has flaws which I'm keen to correct if pointed out:

Let's call this threshold α = 0.05 ( ie : we'll build a 95 tolerance interval )

Then you proceed onto the sample collection which you did.

You collected 2859 sample.

Now let's start resuming stuff in an array.

You already have a problem here because you joined the 4 & 8 events together.

PRovide me with the complete dataset and I could help you continuing

Also where does that 9.95 comes from ?

I can't read it anywhere in any cell of the chi squarred table for any degree of freedom.

Considering you have 4 different types of data the degree of freedom is generally r=k-1 where k denotes the number of types of data you're collecting(columns in your array), we can try with r=4 but since all events aren't independent(ie : if you have the amount of sample for 0 2 4 & total, you can deduce the amount of sample for 8), we should go down to a degree of freedom r=3.

And since we fixed α = 0.05 , then your Chi value should be 7.815 ( \mathbb{P}(X \leq 0.95)_{ r=3} = 7.815)

https://online.stat.psu.edu/stat414/node/147/

Also if theres any statistician here I'd happily take lessons from you if anything I said above is incorrect to some extends.

I'd purchase 200unids from you depending on the price

***mod edit--place a BID or do not post, for questions or comments pm the OP--mod edit***

Are all these shield just worthless ?

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Thanks !

bump, offers added , auctions will still run for a couple of days, I'm in no hurry soo !

Quote from Spun Ducky

Forums cut it off but linear regression and gradient descent that for most intents and purposes produce the same results in a lot of problems.

Filthy econometric guy.

(a+b) ^2=a^2+b^2+2ab =a^2+b^2 since 2ab is negligible...

NOOO

Quote from Spun Ducky

I see what you mean now and yea that makes sense.

Btw can you provide me with your full profile picture, I can't seem to figure out which formulas are represented ?

I can read out :

\[\frac{-2}{N}\sum_{x=i , i\in \mathbb{N}^*} x_i(-y_i-m \cdots)\] 

which looks like some kind of statistics shenanigans or linear regression ?

And as said before, we can hope for a bot freeish game for the next weeks.

Thanks

I didn't feel like explaining the process. Especially since my work was just based on the writing of scripts.

It still does take extra work as most of their members of the team are probably working by now 1nd have other things to do. Hence the fees.

Quote from Grant West

I can't speak for Lgit but those [gwam] toons in JQ are just alts put there on sync so people can get a game; they aren't doing anything inside apart from standing in the spot they spawn at. The old JQ bots would actually cap shrines and such; to OP

Bots have been broken since a game update 1-2 months ago from what I can tell, if there are some still running I haven't seen them and the people are probably not sharing the fix.

They are sharing the fix but since it requires a lot of work , they are selling it, hence you don't see a lot of bots because most people were running bots that were provided for free.

I've been interrested in writing my own scripts not to make profit but rather to have fun since I'm taking a Computer Science Engineering degree, hence I know what's been happening.

Don't worry I didn't ending up with valid scripts as I switched to another project that was much more interresting and related to something that would actually be more tricky (Geostatistics), hence I never ran or shared a single script in GW.

bump, offers updated & added new items

Hi,

I kind of grew bored of the 7caster +BiP Hero Teambuild .

As a result I've been experimenting some fun builds lately, traded a necromancer for healer derv or a prism ele, ranger/warrior/dervish over esurge mesmers(without removing the panic mesmer as it's mandatory in HM).

It's been going great so far.

My next goal is to figure out a team that would be able to apply consistantly most if not all conditions while having a decent dmg output.

So far I've tried a combination of fevered dream mesmer(player) +esurge+panic , searing flame ele, wounding strike+Shockwave dervishes, xinrae+BiP nec.

I've also switched the Shockwave dervish for a barrage ranger to shut down the caster dazed by fevered dreams

However the dmg output mainly comes from the esurge and the conditions (even daze) seem lackluster overall.

Do you have any condition oriented teambuild for heroes that would be kind of viable for HM content(excluding elit areas)?

I do have the doa condiway teambuild but that's meant to be played by 8 actual people, not some weird AI.

Tnx

BUMP added current offer on zodiac & some q8's

Hi I'd buy the adjudicator and menze's ambition

S/b on it

I'll buy the shiroken

Ign : speed Clear ele

Hi,

What can I hope to sell them for ?

Would people even consider buying any of those ?

B/o illusion bds

I certainly could do 7 runs to DoA based on how much you're willing to pay, just drop me an offer by private message and I'll see if we can reach an agreement

You can't run through all outposts without doing some missions, hence you can't glitch your way through

Bump , guild still for sale, added a q8 zodiac

5a for oni+naga

3a for the mini oni ~~

need more pcs

naga 2a

oni 2a

ign : speed clear ele

I'd buy the dwarfslaying for axe please.

Ig: speed clear ele

Hi I'd need the vd hexed chaos axe

Ign : speed clear ele

Bo shiroken, I'm rarely online but I could be on tonight

30 3a

r/b wroth holy rod

30 : 1a

Elementalist + mother's astroligical sign = Element Gemini , removed it long ago

Quote from Rihanna

I assumed the rise in BDS popularity is at least partially due to streaming now being a thing as it’s the most obvious way to show wealth due to it being the most visible staff.

wth people stream gw1 now ?

b/o q8 14^50 brutesword

16 -> 1a

Well then 40a

Excuse me , MaxBorken you actually supressed my first post which was just my opinion based on the simple fact that you disagree with it ?

Im asking for you to put it back instead of suppressing any kind of answer you dislike as I have the right to express myself. I don't care about the other borderline posts.

If not then you could supress your posts which have negative rating since they are quite the same material as my first comment.

This is by no mean an insult, just a demand.

Thanks

Mod Edit:

I deleted your comment because it was part of the escalation to name calling and contributed to the thread’s downturn. Not because I disagreed with it. I applied the same criteria to every thread and deleted accordingly. My own opinion is nothing to do with what got deleted.

GPB 5a